Rudy Gay Trade – E-Mail Exchange

Posted: 31st January 2013 by Blake Murphy in Blake Murphy, NBA Ball, Trev Smith
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lowry gayIf you haven’t read enough trade break-down yet, good friend Trev Smith and I did a brief, Grantland-style e-mail exchange discussing the trade from the Toronto perspective. That correspondence is below.

Blake: The board approved it. Colangelo stays. This is my first thought.

Trev: I have always liked Jose as a person, on and off the floor. In my brief but telling dealings with him when I was with NBA Canada, he was the very definition of a professional. He was sincere, and welcoming, to the point of being authentically friendly to people (like me) that he didn’t need to make any time for. I also have a great deal of respect for what he’s been able to do with his career given his limitations as a player. I will miss having a person of his caliber on the team I support.

More after the jump!

Royal Rumble E-Mail Exchange

Posted: 27th January 2013 by Blake Murphy in Blake Murphy, Other Topics
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zigglerMy good friend Greg Houde and I are unabashed wrestling supporters. As such, the Royal Rumble, and thus Wrestlemania season, have us very excited. We exchanged emails discussing tonight’s Rumble event and the potential fallout of different booking scenarios.

Blake: Alright Greg, the Royal Rumble is Sunday. It’s the second biggest event on the WWE calendar and has huge implications for Wrestlemania. It’s basically the start of “wrestling season.” Are you looking forward to the PPV event? What about the Wrestlemania season in general?

Greg: I only shell out a redback for a PPV event twice a year, and the Rumble is one of those instances. It is one of the longest standing traditions in the WWE and I enjoy it throughly each year, irrespective of the outcome of the actual rumble match itself. My enthusiasm is in high gear all through Wrestlemania season, and I generally find that if the Rumble is booked well, it only makes my passion stronger. I’m looking forward to this event simply because there are so many possible outcomes for the final two matches on the card, that being CM Punk vs. The Rock, and the Royal Rumble. Who is the favourite for the Rumble — I have no clue!
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Vancouver Set to Become Portland

Posted: 16th January 2013 by Blake Murphy in Blake Murphy, Other Topics
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downloadVANCOUVER – Vancouver City Council appears to be just hours away from officially designating the city as Portland. After a council meeting Wednesday broke down to a string of comparisons to Portland, the council decided it best to just become the Oregon city.

Mayor Gregor Robertson, in particular, was excited to rebrand Canada’s third largest city as America’s 29th largest city.

“Portland is just really, really cool,” said Robertson.

The meeting began with a proposed motion to re-produce Portland’s study on food carts, Food Cartology, for downtown Vancouver. After food cart owners and restaurant owners bickered a bit, both sides found themselves referencing Portland’s system and food culture.

From there, council members and speakers got lost in gushing about Portland.
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NBA Championship Odds

Posted: 7th December 2012 by Joe in Uncategorized
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The NBA Championship is turning into a three horse race. Miami Heat is leading by a nose with the odds of around 9/5. In second place Los Angeles Lakers are holding up with odds of 9/2 and following a little behind is Oklahoma City Thunder which is priced at 5/1. San Antonio Spurs are bringing up the rest of the field with odds of 14/1.

The current champions Miami Heat have won every home game so far, as have Los Angeles Lakers. There seems to be a decided advantage in basketball about playing at home, more so that in football.
Betting on basketball is very similar to betting on football, but there are some differences. Many basketball betters favour spread betting to betting on outright winners. It is really very simple to do. the most usual bets are the point spread and the under and over.

As basketball is such a fast paced game, it is a great game for in-play betting, which can be a real adrenaline roller coaster ride.

Basketball is one of the most popular sport in America and this is reflected by the number of online casino games that feature it. Alongside football slots, there are several basketball slots that are highly entertaining. Most of these are five reel slots with up to 25 pay lines, so there is plenty of action.

One amusing variant you can find on http://www.riverbellecasino.com/ is Slot Dunk which has 20 pay lines and a potential payout of 13,000 coins. The game features a large array of comic basket ball playing animals as well as symbols such as cups, basket balls, and boots. The cheerleaders are hippopotami which are wild symbols and a zebra and rhinoceros are scatter symbols.

There are several bonus features including 13 free spins, so who says that thirteen is an unlucky number? Certainly it is a great deal of fun.

Seven Seconds or Bust

Posted: 12th November 2012 by Trev Smith in NBA Ball, Trev Smith

Nothing like starting your work week off with a jolt, I suppose.

Hollywood’s team is in the business of making headlines, and hiring Mike D’Antoni over presumed-favorite candidate Phil Jackson is just the latest move in Lakerland that will launch a thousand blog posts. Still, even if we as fans are conditioned to expect dramatic storylines and unforeseen plot-twists with this franchise, this decision has to rank as a true Shyamalan.

So much for this being Big Chief Triangle’s “job to turn down.” And so much for conventional thinking.
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Fantasy Football – Final Full-Season Rankings

Posted: 7th September 2012 by Blake Murphy in Blake Murphy, Football
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What follows is not much of an article so much as it is a post for the purpose of public record. At the risk of posting my position rankings for my opponents to see, I want my pre-season (as well as, later, my weekly) ranks on the record. My hope by the end of the season is to have caught on with a Fantasy Football site to supplement my Full Spectrum and Raptors Republic writing homes, and it’s my hope that a strong track record here could lend a hand. Eventually, I’m hoping Fantasy Pros come out with a way for civilians to compare their own rankings to those of ‘experts,’ or that I catch on with an affiliated site so I can see how my rankings stack up.

With that long-winded introduction out of the way, the ranks by position are after the jump. Since I’m posting this on September 7th, which is a bit of a cheat given that most people have drafted by now, I also listed my original ranking when I first prepared for my drafts back in late July. In some cases, injuries, trades, or changing roles have effected the rankings, while in other cases it was preseason performances or just a general change in opinion. I always find that pre-draft rankings are not necessarily indicative of my actual opinion, as when it comes time to click the “Draft” button, you really find out who you prefer.

Finally, I’ll note that because these are positional rankings, the scoring of the league doesn’t matter too much, except for PPR formats. I assume PPR for my rankings, because I’m staunchly against non-PPR leagues.

Anyway, without any more ado…enjoy, and please, be nice. I would love to hear where my opinions differ from others, and I can hopefully try to back up the ‘why’ behind the rankings in question. You can click each chart to enlarge them.
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Is Colby Rasmus’ Break Out For Real?

Posted: 13th July 2012 by Blake Murphy in Baseball, Blake Murphy
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 As a card-carrying member of #RasmusNation, I really want to believe that the Colby we’ve all witnessed for the past six weeks is the “real” Colby Rasmus, and not just another short-term hot streak. But, as always with Colby, it’s tough to know for sure.

The narrative is certainly there to support his arrival as a star – he’s finally comfortable, he’s made obvious changes to his mechanics and approach, pitchers have yet to find an adjustment to slow him down, and so on. For a player with so many alleged issues in the past, it’s certainly possible Colby has just “figured it out” or has “come into his own” or some other baseball cliché. Then again, it’s also possible that it’s just a hot-streak, and our choice of arbitrary endpoints is misleading us.

As Jays fans, we’ve lived through a very similar player in Alex Rios before, and his hot-and-cold act eventually got him a huge contract…and waived out of town. Now, Rios has once again rebounded as one of the more valuable outfielders in the game, believe it or not, thriving for Robin Ventura’s Chicago White Sox. So, if history has taught us anything with players of this ilk, it’s that we shouldn’t be too quick to react in either direction – I certainly didn’t want to give up on Colby during his cold stretches when #RasmusNation had but a handful of us left, but I’m trying to be cautious with my future expectations as well.

So I spent the morning scouring Fangraphs to see if there are any specific trends in Colby’s career data that might turn a light on for us. The following three charts and graph are actually stunning when you look at them. I charted Colby’s stats on a month-by-month, split-year, and yearly basis in several key statistical categories, and then graphed his OPS over time against the league median (I used median instead of average to weed out things like pitchers, replacement players and September call ups….basically, the “median” data here is a middle-of-the-pack everyday player). The amount of fluctuation on a monthly basis is insane, and it doesn’t get any steadier on a split-year or yearly basis.
More after the jump!

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Trev and I had planned to do a more traditional Live Blog together, but being on crutches prevented me from joining Trev in Toronto. Instead, we used G-Chat to facilitate our discussion. I was going to tidy it up, but it’s about 7000 words and I don’t have that kind of patience. So, comb through and enjoy. Hopefully it looks better in retrospect than our 2008 instalment.

 

trevor.smith.tds@gmail.com: Right from jump street we are already going to have to agree to disagree

6:40 PM

I, for one, think that our 2008 Draft Recap is amazing in retrospect

 

me: hahaha

 

before we get going

 

trevor.smith.tds@gmail.com: Granted, in this case I think amazing = hilarious

6:41 PM

me: so….this chat won’t delete old messages right? so if we just keep typing, i can copy and paste at the end, no need to maintain as we go?

 

Yes, for quick review – amazing = hilarious = Bayless over Westbrook = embarrassing.

 

trevor.smith.tds@gmail.com: That is my understanding

 

me: Beauty.

6:42 PM

trevor.smith.tds@gmail.com: https://groups.google.com/forum/?fromgroups#!topic/google-talk-gadget/B8hisZyCF7s

 

As a point of reference

 

me: Perfect.

6:43 PM

Alright then….I say we get going. Might as well start with Raptors-related…give me your top-3 for the Raps, given who you think might be available.

6:44 PM

trevor.smith.tds@gmail.com: Ahh yes, it is that time of year again – the day I get to have my hopes and dreams for next season crushed with the realization of exactly how far away our Raps are from being a real Playoffs team

 

me: Keep in mind Jonas Valanciunas is coming as well, and multiple non-Raptor sources have confirmed he’d be a near-consensus #2 if he were in the draft this year.

6:45 PM

trevor.smith.tds@gmail.com: My sense is that, short of some kind of flux that sees a major move (i.e. Houston making a play for Howard) the Top 5 will be Davis, Beal, Robinson, Barnes and MKG in some order.
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After Oklahoma City vanquished the San Antonio Spurs on Wednesday night, Trev and I got emailing to show Simmons and Gladwell how it’s done. We hit a delay late on Thursday, but it was for the best as it gave us the chance to discuss LeBron’s magnificent series-saving Game 6 against the Celtics as well. Buckle in for 6000 words.

Trev Smith: Captain Murphy – we just saw a sea change in the Association last night. The Thunder have officially arrived as we all propheicized they eventually would. Staring at the ruins they left the Spurs in over the last four game, it’s difficult NOT to want to get ahead of ourselves and say this team will own their conference for the next decade. So, while we both have had a well-documented (For example, see here, here, and here) appreciation for Mr. Durant since Jump Street, I know that your repping for him has been more fierce than my own, so I turn the floor over to you to kick off this coronation party.

Blake Murphy: Ahh, but I can’t, my friend. There is no such coronation ceremony to be had, at least for another two weeks or so. We should have learned from the Heat last year that merely the appearance of a championship and/or dynasty is not a guarantee of one to come; the Heat proclaimed multiple championships, and everyone wrote off the Mavericks in the Finals, but here we are two years into their run and they are but a single loss from not even making the Finals, let alone raising a banner. So, as unbelievable as that series was (and it was, in all honesty, the best I can remember as an even semi-coherent pseudo-adult viewer in terms of pure quality of basketball), I’m hesitant to award my Thunder, and specifically my boy KD, anything more than a congratulations and a sincere “thank you.” There are anywhere from 4 to 7 more games to play before the real “party” can get started.

With that said, allow me just two sentences of KD-love-fest fan-boyism…

1) With his defense improving leaps and bounds this year (specifically in terms of IQ, team-D, rotations, etc, though not necessarily man coverage), KD is bordering very close on stealing the crown as The Best Player in the NBA – LBJ may maintain the edge due to his all-world defense, but the gap is narrowing if not gone.

2) Short of James Harden deciding he needs to be The Man, something by all accounts it seems isn’t really in his makeup based on recent press, it’s difficult to envision a Western Conference that isn’t dominated by these Thunder for the next half decade.

So, I ask you, first if I’ve been too skeptical and hesitant in my initial reply, and second if I’ve been too optimistic and homerish in my follow up points?
More after the jump!

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It shouldn’t be news at this point that baseball is being dominated by an East Coast bias. Of course, I’m not referring to the generally maligned East Coast Bias of media reporting, whereby West Coast coverage falls by the wayside due to time zone differences. No, the Eastern Bias I’m referring to here is the odd but not unfamiliar dominance of Major League Baseball’s two eastern divisions, the NL East and AL East.

If you’ve been following baseball even passively for any amount of time, you no doubt understand the American League East to be a battleground of the utmost talent, the most competitive division in sports, buoyed by the big-spending Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees and the “Extra 2%” ultra-managed Tampa Bay Rays. The Toronto Blue Jays have hung around forever as the 3rd- or 4th-string, seemingly content to finish around .500 and hang their hats on the “if we only played in the Central…” excuse. As for the Orioles, well, their best days are far in the rearview mirror.

Alas, this year has been different – it’s not that the AL East isn’t dominant, it’s that all five teams are great rather than the usual two or three juggernauts plus also-rans. The AL East currently has a winning percentage of 54.2%, even higher than last year’s 52.9%, but even this is misleading as it ignores the fact that these teams all play 44.4% of their games against each other. Basically, the division has 44.4% of games guaranteed to produce a cumulative outcome of .500, since each inter-AL East game must have a winner and a loser. Thus, the dominance in Win% means that last year, those extra wins above .500 were generated in just 55.6% of the schedule. To clarify, that means AL East teams won 55.2% of the time last year against non-AL East teams. This year what it means is that these five dominant AL East teams have won just 50% of their games against each other (obviously), but an astonishing 58.1% against non-divisional opponents.

But like I said, other than the fact that contributions are coming from all five teams rather than “just” three or four, this is old hat for the AL East. This year, however, the National League East has gotten in on the action as well, sporting a nearly identical win-loss record to its AL counterpart.
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